Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Virginia Foxx: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-11

$10,000 invested became $9,917 by copying Virginia Foxx, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 8.8 percentage points behind the index.

-0.8%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-1.0%worst drop
4trades executed

On average 9% of the money was invested. On the 213 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned -22.0% a year against +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Virginia Foxx versus the S&P 5009,1289,73310,33810,94311,5482026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy EFC, 2026-01-08Buy ARLP, 2026-03-05Buy ARLP, 2026-06-05Sell ARLP, 2026-07-13

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Virginia FoxxJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -0.2%Feb 2026: -0.1%Mar 2026: -0.0%Apr 2026: +0.4%May 2026: -0.0%Jun 2026: -0.5%Jul 2026: +0.4%Aug 2026: +0.3%Sep 2026: -0.9%Oct 2026: +0.4%Nov 2026: -0.4%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Virginia FoxxJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 1 tradeFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 1 tradeApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 1 tradeJul 2026: 1 tradeAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
EFC$-39
ARLP$-44
Worst positionsProfit
ARLP$-44
EFC$-39

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-06. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

ARLP: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

EFC: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

2 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

1006 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 939 executes before the backtest start; 60 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF; 3 transaction type not simulated (exchange); 2 transaction date is in the future (source error).

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.