Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Thomas H. Kean Jr: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-10

$10,000 invested became $9,904 by copying Thomas H. Kean Jr, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 9.0 percentage points behind the index.

-1.0%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-3.1%worst drop
6trades executed
Value of the portfolio copying Thomas H. Kean Jr versus the S&P 5009,1289,73110,33410,93711,5402026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy AMZN, 2026-08-21Buy EQT, 2026-08-21Buy ESAB, 2026-08-21Buy TOST, 2026-08-21Buy LIN, 2026-09-15Buy MTZ, 2026-09-15

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Thomas H. Kean JrJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.0%Feb 2026: +0.0%Mar 2026: +0.0%Apr 2026: +0.0%May 2026: +0.0%Jun 2026: +0.0%Jul 2026: +0.0%Aug 2026: -0.5%Sep 2026: -2.3%Oct 2026: +0.9%Nov 2026: +0.8%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Thomas H. Kean JrJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 0 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 4 tradesSep 2026: 2 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
LIN$56
ESAB$22
AMZN$-3
Worst positionsProfit
MTZ$-120
EQT$-41
TOST$-12

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

AMZN: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

EQT: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ESAB: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

LIN: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MTZ: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

TOST: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

6 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

62 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 60 executes before the backtest start; 1 transaction type not simulated (exchange); 1 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.