Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Roger Williams: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-11

$10,000 invested became $10,031 by copying Roger Williams, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 7.7 percentage points behind the index.

+0.3%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-1.6%worst drop
2trades executed

On average 10% of the money was invested. On the 206 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +2.2% a year against +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Roger Williams versus the S&P 5009,1289,73310,33810,94311,5482026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy JPM, 2026-01-20Buy RTX, 2026-01-20

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Roger WilliamsJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -0.0%Feb 2026: -0.0%Mar 2026: -0.3%Apr 2026: -0.1%May 2026: -0.1%Jun 2026: +0.7%Jul 2026: +1.1%Aug 2026: -0.1%Sep 2026: -1.0%Oct 2026: +0.5%Nov 2026: -0.3%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Roger WilliamsJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 2 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
JPM$53
RTX$-23
Worst positionsProfit
RTX$-23
JPM$53

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-06. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

JPM: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

RTX: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

2 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

23 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 21 executes before the backtest start; 1 unsupported asset type; 1 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.