Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Richard Dean McCormick: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-11

$10,000 invested became $10,922 by copying Richard Dean McCormick, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 1.2 percentage points ahead of the index.

+9.2%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-1.1%worst drop
23trades executed

On average 18% of the money was invested. On the 150 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +42.6% a year against +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Richard Dean McCormick versus the S&P 5009,1289,73310,33810,94311,5482026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy ABT, 2026-04-10Buy ADP, 2026-04-10Buy BLK, 2026-04-10Buy HD, 2026-04-10Buy MGK, 2026-04-10Buy MSFT, 2026-04-10Buy UNH, 2026-04-10Sell BLK, 2026-07-13Sell MGK, 2026-07-13Sell UNH, 2026-07-13Buy ABT, 2026-07-13Buy ICE, 2026-07-13Buy LHX, 2026-07-13Sell ABT, 2026-08-17Sell ADP, 2026-08-17Sell BLK, 2026-08-17Sell HD, 2026-08-17Sell ICE, 2026-08-17Sell LHX, 2026-08-17Sell MSFT, 2026-08-17Sell UNH, 2026-08-17Buy BRK.B, 2026-08-17Buy BRK.B, 2026-10-19

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Richard Dean McCormickJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.0%Feb 2026: +0.0%Mar 2026: +0.0%Apr 2026: +1.9%May 2026: +0.9%Jun 2026: -0.1%Jul 2026: +4.2%Aug 2026: +1.1%Sep 2026: +0.0%Oct 2026: +0.4%Nov 2026: +0.5%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Richard Dean McCormickJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 0 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 7 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 6 tradesAug 2026: 9 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 1 tradeNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
ADP$191
UNH$173
MSFT$158
Worst positionsProfit
LHX$-17
HD$-6
BLK$53

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-06. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

BRK.B: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MGK: no price bar on 3 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

27 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

66 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 54 executes before the backtest start; 9 unsupported asset type; 2 no usable ticker; 1 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.