Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Nancy Pelosi: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-10

$10,000 invested became $9,748 by copying Nancy Pelosi, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 10.5 percentage points behind the index.

-2.5%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-6.9%worst drop
3trades executed

On average 7% of the money was invested. On the 201 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned -28.8% a year against +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Nancy Pelosi versus the S&P 5009,1289,73110,33410,93711,5402026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy AB, 2026-01-26Buy BE, 2026-08-24Buy INTC, 2026-08-24

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Nancy PelosiJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.4%Feb 2026: -0.3%Mar 2026: -0.2%Apr 2026: +0.3%May 2026: -0.2%Jun 2026: -0.2%Jul 2026: +0.2%Aug 2026: +0.5%Sep 2026: +3.3%Oct 2026: -4.8%Nov 2026: -1.3%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Nancy PelosiJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 1 tradeFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 2 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
AB$-19
BE$-49
INTC$-183
Worst positionsProfit
INTC$-183
BE$-49
AB$-19

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

AB: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BE: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

INTC: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

6 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

214 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 141 executes before the backtest start; 49 options are not simulated (stocks and ETFs only); 16 unsupported asset type; 7 no usable ticker.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.