Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Kevin Hern: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-09

$10,000 invested became $10,074 by copying Kevin Hern, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 7.3 percentage points behind the index.

+0.7%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-0.2%worst drop
3trades executed
Value of the portfolio copying Kevin Hern versus the S&P 5009,1289,73310,33810,94311,5482026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy CB, 2026-09-28Buy KO, 2026-09-28Sell CB, 2026-10-16

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Kevin HernJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.0%Feb 2026: +0.0%Mar 2026: +0.0%Apr 2026: +0.0%May 2026: +0.0%Jun 2026: +0.0%Jul 2026: +0.0%Aug 2026: +0.0%Sep 2026: -0.2%Oct 2026: +0.9%Nov 2026: +0.1%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Kevin HernJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 0 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 2 tradesOct 2026: 1 tradeNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
KO$46
CB$28
Worst positionsProfit
CB$28
KO$46

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

KO: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

107 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

891 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 688 executes before the backtest start; 94 unsupported asset type; 52 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF; 31 no usable ticker.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.