Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Josh Gottheimer: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-09

$10,000 invested became $10,974 by copying Josh Gottheimer, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 1.7 percentage points ahead of the index.

+9.7%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-6.8%worst drop
26trades executed

On average 70% of the money was invested. On the 215 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +8.1% a year against +9.4% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Josh Gottheimer versus the S&P 5009,1129,80210,49311,18311,8732026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy CSW, 2026-01-02Buy GILD, 2026-03-02Buy ICE, 2026-03-02Buy CMI, 2026-03-19Buy FSS, 2026-03-19Buy GEV, 2026-03-19Buy IFNNY, 2026-03-19Buy MNST, 2026-03-19Buy MRK, 2026-03-19Buy UNH, 2026-03-19Buy XOM, 2026-03-19Sell IFNNY, 2026-04-13Buy APD, 2026-04-13Buy FN, 2026-04-13Buy NOW, 2026-04-13Buy SE, 2026-04-13Sell NOW, 2026-05-22Buy AMD, 2026-05-22Buy FCX, 2026-05-22Buy FWRG, 2026-05-22Buy IFNNY, 2026-05-22Buy INTA, 2026-05-22Buy NTES, 2026-05-22Buy ADI, 2026-06-08Sell FN, 2026-08-13Buy CRWD, 2026-08-13

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Josh GottheimerJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -0.4%Feb 2026: +0.4%Mar 2026: -0.1%Apr 2026: +5.5%May 2026: +2.2%Jun 2026: +4.4%Jul 2026: -0.6%Aug 2026: +3.5%Sep 2026: -3.5%Oct 2026: +1.9%Nov 2026: -3.4%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Josh GottheimerJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 1 tradeFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 10 tradesApr 2026: 5 tradesMay 2026: 7 tradesJun 2026: 1 tradeJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 2 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
INTA$604
UNH$200
MRK$145
Worst positionsProfit
IFNNY$-121
FN$-73
CMI$-72

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

ADI: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AMD: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

APD: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CMI: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CRWD: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CSW: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FCX: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FSS: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FWRG: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

GEV: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

GILD: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ICE: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

IFNNY: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

INTA: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MNST: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MRK: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

NTES: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

SE: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

UNH: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

XOM: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

91 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

3491 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 3294 executes before the backtest start; 143 options are not simulated (stocks and ETFs only); 38 unsupported asset type; 11 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice. Result served from cache.