Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

John W Hickenlooper: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-10

$10,000 invested became $9,921 by copying John W Hickenlooper, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 8.8 percentage points behind the index.

-0.8%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-2.4%worst drop
2trades executed

On average 9% of the money was invested. On the 191 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned -10.9% a year against +9.7% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying John W Hickenlooper versus the S&P 5009,1289,73110,33410,93711,5402026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy ETN, 2026-02-09Buy UBER, 2026-02-09

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying John W HickenlooperJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.0%Feb 2026: +0.1%Mar 2026: -0.5%Apr 2026: +1.2%May 2026: -0.7%Jun 2026: +0.5%Jul 2026: -0.3%Aug 2026: +0.2%Sep 2026: -0.1%Oct 2026: -1.0%Nov 2026: -0.2%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, John W HickenlooperJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 0 tradesFeb 2026: 2 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 0 tradesAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
ETN$-38
UBER$-41
Worst positionsProfit
UBER$-41
ETN$-38

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

ETN: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

UBER: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

6 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

114 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 109 executes before the backtest start; 2 transaction type not simulated (exchange); 2 no usable ticker; 1 unsupported asset type.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.