Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Jerry Moran: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-09

$10,000 invested became $10,100 by copying Jerry Moran, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 7.0 percentage points behind the index.

+1.0%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-1.0%worst drop
3trades executed

On average 6% of the money was invested. On the 94 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +15.7% a year against +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Jerry Moran versus the S&P 5009,1289,73310,33810,94311,5482026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy BRK.B, 2026-06-29Buy BRK.B, 2026-07-24Buy GOOG, 2026-07-24

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Jerry MoranJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: +0.0%Feb 2026: +0.0%Mar 2026: +0.0%Apr 2026: +0.0%May 2026: +0.0%Jun 2026: +0.0%Jul 2026: +0.9%Aug 2026: -0.5%Sep 2026: -0.0%Oct 2026: -0.1%Nov 2026: +0.7%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Jerry MoranJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 0 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 1 tradeJul 2026: 2 tradesAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
BRK.B$154
GOOG$-54
Worst positionsProfit
GOOG$-54
BRK.B$154

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

BRK.B: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

GOOG: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

1 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

276 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 266 executes before the backtest start; 8 no usable ticker (not a listed symbol); 1 no usable ticker; 1 transaction type not simulated (exchange).

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.