Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Gilbert Cisneros: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-09

$10,000 invested became $9,196 by copying Gilbert Cisneros, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 16.0 percentage points behind the index.

-8.0%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-15.7%worst drop
64trades executed

On average 96% of the money was invested. On the 206 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned -10.8% a year against +9.0% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Gilbert Cisneros versus the S&P 5008,2789,1059,93310,76111,5882026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy ACN, 2026-01-15Buy AGIO, 2026-01-15Buy AJG, 2026-01-15Buy APP, 2026-01-15Buy ARMK, 2026-01-15Buy AVAV, 2026-01-15Buy AVGO, 2026-01-15Buy AZN, 2026-01-15Buy BA, 2026-01-15Buy BKNG, 2026-01-15Buy BKR, 2026-01-15Buy BMY, 2026-01-15Buy CI, 2026-01-15Buy CLX, 2026-01-15Buy COO, 2026-01-15Buy CP, 2026-01-15Buy CPB, 2026-01-15Buy CSGP, 2026-01-15Buy DASH, 2026-01-15Buy ERIE, 2026-01-15Sell BKR, 2026-02-17Buy AVAV, 2026-02-17Sell ACN, 2026-03-12Sell AJG, 2026-03-12Sell APP, 2026-03-12Sell BKNG, 2026-03-12Sell ERIE, 2026-03-12Buy AMD, 2026-03-12Buy AMZN, 2026-03-12Buy BABA, 2026-03-12Buy DASH, 2026-03-12Sell AMD, 2026-04-10Sell AMZN, 2026-04-10Sell APP, 2026-04-10Sell AVGO, 2026-04-10Sell CI, 2026-04-10Sell DASH, 2026-04-10Buy ACN, 2026-04-10Buy AGIO, 2026-04-10Buy AMZN, 2026-04-10Buy APP, 2026-04-10Sell ACN, 2026-05-11Sell APP, 2026-05-11Sell CSGP, 2026-05-11Buy ADBE, 2026-05-11Buy AMD, 2026-05-11Sell ADBE, 2026-06-11Sell BKNG, 2026-06-11Sell CLX, 2026-06-11Buy AMD, 2026-06-11Buy APP, 2026-06-11Buy AAPL, 2026-07-06Sell ADBE, 2026-09-08Sell AVAV, 2026-09-08Sell BABA, 2026-09-08Buy ABCB, 2026-09-08Buy ACN, 2026-09-08Sell AMD, 2026-09-14Sell APP, 2026-09-14Sell DASH, 2026-09-14Buy AGIO, 2026-09-14Buy CSGP, 2026-09-14Sell AVGO, 2026-10-15Buy APP, 2026-10-15

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Gilbert CisnerosJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -3.6%Feb 2026: -0.6%Mar 2026: -9.4%Apr 2026: +6.0%May 2026: +4.4%Jun 2026: +1.6%Jul 2026: -3.7%Aug 2026: +0.8%Sep 2026: -5.0%Oct 2026: -0.2%Nov 2026: +2.2%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Gilbert CisnerosJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 20 tradesFeb 2026: 2 tradesMar 2026: 9 tradesApr 2026: 10 tradesMay 2026: 5 tradesJun 2026: 5 tradesJul 2026: 1 tradeAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 10 tradesOct 2026: 2 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
AMD$342
ARMK$183
CP$145
Worst positionsProfit
AVAV$-439
CSGP$-263
BA$-145

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

AAPL: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ABCB: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ACN: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ADBE: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AGIO: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AMD: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AMZN: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

APP: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ARMK: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AVGO: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AZN: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BA: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BKNG: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BKR: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BMY: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

COO: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CP: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CPB: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CSGP: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

DASH: no price bar on 1 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

749 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

The provider's data for 1 ticker(s) (SUPN) had errors, such as a reverse split it did not record or a dividend larger than the share price. Those were repaired or ignored so they do not create fake gains.

1917 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 1791 executes before the backtest start; 38 unsupported asset type; 36 no usable ticker; 27 bond or other debt, not an ordinary stock or ETF.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.