Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

David J. Taylor: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-10

$10,000 invested became $11,973 by copying David J. Taylor, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 11.7 percentage points ahead of the index.

+19.7%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-9.1%worst drop
81trades executed

On average 88% of the money was invested. On the 201 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +18.9% a year against +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying David J. Taylor versus the S&P 5008,9499,86110,77211,68412,5952026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy IBM, 2026-01-26Buy MSFT, 2026-01-26Buy PG, 2026-01-26Sell PG, 2026-02-05Buy AAPL, 2026-02-05Buy AEP, 2026-02-05Buy AMGN, 2026-02-05Buy AMZN, 2026-02-05Buy AVGO, 2026-02-05Buy CRM, 2026-02-05Buy ETN, 2026-02-05Buy IBP, 2026-02-05Buy JPM, 2026-02-05Buy KR, 2026-02-05Buy MEDP, 2026-02-05Buy MSFT, 2026-02-05Buy PGR, 2026-02-05Buy PLD, 2026-02-05Buy RPM, 2026-02-05Buy T, 2026-02-05Buy V, 2026-02-05Buy AMZN, 2026-02-23Buy CRM, 2026-02-23Sell AAPL, 2026-03-09Sell AEP, 2026-03-09Sell AMGN, 2026-03-09Sell CRM, 2026-03-09Sell ETN, 2026-03-09Sell IBM, 2026-03-09Sell IBP, 2026-03-09Sell KR, 2026-03-09Sell PLD, 2026-03-09Sell RPM, 2026-03-09Sell T, 2026-03-09Buy AMZN, 2026-03-09Buy AVGO, 2026-03-09Buy GOOGL, 2026-03-09Buy LLY, 2026-03-09Buy MEDP, 2026-03-09Buy MSFT, 2026-03-09Buy V, 2026-03-09Buy FITB, 2026-03-23Buy HD, 2026-03-23Buy IBP, 2026-03-23Buy LRCX, 2026-03-23Buy PH, 2026-03-23Buy IBP, 2026-04-06Sell AVGO, 2026-05-11Sell HD, 2026-05-11Sell LRCX, 2026-05-11Buy HD, 2026-05-11Buy PG, 2026-05-11Buy PGR, 2026-05-11Buy V, 2026-05-11Sell GOOGL, 2026-06-01Buy HD, 2026-06-01Buy MEDP, 2026-06-01Sell AMZN, 2026-06-15Buy AEP, 2026-06-15Buy AMGN, 2026-06-15Buy GOOGL, 2026-06-15Buy KR, 2026-06-15Buy CVX, 2026-07-06Sell FITB, 2026-08-10Buy AVGO, 2026-08-10Sell MSFT, 2026-08-24Buy GOOGL, 2026-08-24Buy IBP, 2026-08-24Buy PG, 2026-08-24Sell AMGN, 2026-09-08Buy AEP, 2026-09-08Buy AVGO, 2026-09-08Buy IBP, 2026-09-21Sell PG, 2026-10-19Buy FITB, 2026-10-19Buy RPM, 2026-10-19Sell V, 2026-11-02Buy LRCX, 2026-11-02Buy PLD, 2026-11-02Buy RPM, 2026-11-02Buy T, 2026-11-02

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying David J. TaylorJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -0.1%Feb 2026: -1.4%Mar 2026: -4.3%Apr 2026: +12.8%May 2026: +1.7%Jun 2026: +3.4%Jul 2026: +4.0%Aug 2026: +1.6%Sep 2026: -4.7%Oct 2026: +7.6%Nov 2026: -1.2%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, David J. TaylorJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 3 tradesFeb 2026: 20 tradesMar 2026: 23 tradesApr 2026: 1 tradeMay 2026: 7 tradesJun 2026: 8 tradesJul 2026: 1 tradeAug 2026: 6 tradesSep 2026: 4 tradesOct 2026: 3 tradesNov 2026: 5 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
V$449
MEDP$428
MSFT$213
Worst positionsProfit
IBP$-167
GOOGL$-86
IBM$-62

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

AEP: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AVGO: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

CVX: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FITB: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

GOOGL: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

HD: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

IBP: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

JPM: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

KR: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

LLY: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

LRCX: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MEDP: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

PGR: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

PH: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

PLD: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

RPM: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

T: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

48 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

76 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 75 executes before the backtest start; 1 no usable ticker.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.