Congress Watch

Backtest copying a member of Congress

Pick a politician and see what would have happened if you had bought and sold the same stocks a few days after each filing became public. The simulation only uses information that was public at that moment.

Dan Newhouse: 2026-01-01 to 2026-11-10

$10,000 invested became $10,136 by copying Dan Newhouse, against $10,799 in the S&P 500: 6.6 percentage points behind the index.

+1.4%copy portfolio return
+8.0%S&P 500 return
-7.7%worst drop
21trades executed

On average 63% of the money was invested. On the 205 days stocks were held, the copied holdings returned +0.7% a year against +8.8% for the S&P 500 over the same days.

Value of the portfolio copying Dan Newhouse versus the S&P 5009,1289,73110,33410,93711,5402026-012026-062026-11Copy portfolioS&P 500 (SPY)Buy BR, 2026-01-20Buy BX, 2026-01-20Buy LULU, 2026-01-20Buy NXPI, 2026-01-20Buy PANW, 2026-01-20Buy RCL, 2026-01-20Buy SCHW, 2026-01-20Buy SNPS, 2026-01-20Buy TMUS, 2026-01-20Buy TXT, 2026-01-20Sell PANW, 2026-07-20Buy ACN, 2026-07-20Buy AMCR, 2026-07-20Buy ANET, 2026-07-20Buy APH, 2026-07-20Buy COST, 2026-07-20Buy DUK, 2026-07-20Buy FE, 2026-07-20Buy FIS, 2026-07-20Buy MS, 2026-07-20Buy MU, 2026-07-20

Portfolio value (teal) and the same deposits in SPY (red). Green dots are copied purchases and red dots copied sales (at most 300 are drawn). Returns are time-weighted, so deposits do not count as gains.

Gain or loss by month

Monthly return copying Dan NewhouseJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: -1.1%Feb 2026: -1.7%Mar 2026: -3.3%Apr 2026: +3.1%May 2026: +2.8%Jun 2026: +0.0%Jul 2026: +1.1%Aug 2026: +2.9%Sep 2026: -4.3%Oct 2026: +4.9%Nov 2026: -2.6%Dec 2026: no activity

Monthly return of the whole portfolio, cash included. Green months gained, red months lost; darker means a bigger move.

Copied trades by month

Copied trades per month, Dan NewhouseJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2026Jan 2026: 10 tradesFeb 2026: 0 tradesMar 2026: 0 tradesApr 2026: 0 tradesMay 2026: 0 tradesJun 2026: 0 tradesJul 2026: 11 tradesAug 2026: 0 tradesSep 2026: 0 tradesOct 2026: 0 tradesNov 2026: 0 tradesDec 2026: no activity

Buys and sells the simulation executed each month; darker means more.

Biggest winners and losers

Best positionsProfit
ACN$419
PANW$406
RCL$121
Worst positionsProfit
LULU$-221
FIS$-151
BX$-111

What was left out

The latest disclosure is dated 2026-11-05. Trades filed after that date are not in the dataset yet.

ACN: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

AMCR: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

ANET: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

APH: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BR: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

BX: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

COST: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

DUK: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FE: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

FIS: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

LULU: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MS: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

MU: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

NXPI: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

PANW: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

RCL: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

SCHW: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

SNPS: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

TMUS: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

TXT: no price bar on 2 trading day(s) while held; valued at the last close.

27 copy order(s) were rejected; see the transaction log for each reason.

164 disclosed trade(s) were excluded: 151 executes before the backtest start; 10 unsupported asset type; 3 no usable ticker.

Hypothetical result with a 3-day delay, 5 basis points slippage, no fees and no leverage. See the methodology. Not investment advice.